Baseball is unique in that the rules are different at different levels of the game. Odds in the league or league facing the first appearance in the game can be very high or very low especially in terms of the bullpen. In this article, we will discuss how to adjust the odds of becoming a winning baseball bettor so that it is in your best playing odds when you embark on these interleague games.
The Rule of betting
Because the rules of the game follow the same dollar amount for the bets, you can quickly count cards when counting for the totals. You must bet the same amount for the run line and the run line/puck line as well. Many baseball bettors have a problem with these two totals as they often bet the run line with the temptation to get more for their money. I can tell you that this move oftentimes benefits the house by .0005 percentage or more.
Betting the totals is a combination of betting the run line and betting the puck line as well. My general baseball bet is usually on the run line only, and those totals can rise to a point that they start to profit as well.
The example below is the real proof of how to adjust the odds of becoming a big winner when betting on an interleague baseball game.
Four teams are matched up against each other in an interleague game. The run line is +1.5 in the +, -, +1, 0 games. You make the following four bets:
(1) Team A +1.5 (-110)
(2) Team B -1.5 (+120)
(3) Team C -1.5 (+140)
(4) Team D +1.5 (-160)
(5) Team E +1.5 (+170)
In this scenario, your baseball bet is actually Negative EV #4 in the +, -, +1, 0
which tells us that our team will need to win by at least 2 goals for you to break even or you will need to bet that the winning team will win by 3 goals from the betting forecast above.
So really, you are justashing out a wager based on a set percentage of the time. This is not to say that you can’t do any other thing in between, for example, you might get the odds up to +1.5 for Team A and +2.5 for Team B, you do not need to anymore, because you already bet your money in the form of +1.5.
The more the spread, the more you stand to lose. The standard spread for basketball is ten points, so if you consistently bet the spread by 10 points and you lose, then you will win after all. In the NBA, it is permitted to bet the money line which is a little more tricky.
Betting against the spread is always a safer way to bet. Although the returns are less, you are less likely to lose a bet when you bet the spread.
Just remember that if you are serious about winning at betting on baseball, you need to stick with betting the money line instead of the spread. Why bet the house edge when you can bet the underdog with a higher probability of winning straight up?